North Queensland Fury vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
SYD
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
NOR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
NEW
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
4 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 0
WPH
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WPH
2 - 2
MEL
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |