North Queensland Fury vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SYD
4 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 5
CCM
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 2
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |