North Queensland Fury vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 2
ADE
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
NOR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 1
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 4
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |