North Queensland Fury vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
NOR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
PER
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 1
NOR
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 3
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 1
CCM
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
WPH
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 1
ADE
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SYD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |