North Queensland Fury vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 2
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 4
CCM
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 0
ADE
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCM
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NOR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |