North Queensland Fury vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
SYD
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
PER
3 - 3
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
GOL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
NOR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CCM
1 - 1
ADE
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ADE
2 - 3
JEO
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |