North Pine vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Pine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
6 - 0
NPI
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SPR
4 - 2
NPI
25%
19%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NPI
3 - 2
NEW
20%
18%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
NPI
39%
21%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RED
4 - 2
NPI
44%
20%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 2
UNI
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WES
0 - 2
STO
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
SPR
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RED
2 - 6
STO
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
4 - 4
NEW
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |