North Geelong Warriors vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
NGW
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGW
1 - 0
GRE
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
SOU
7 - 1
NGW
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NGW
0 - 1
BEN
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NGW
0 - 2
WEC
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
HUM
2 - 0
KIN
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
HUM
1 - 0
OAK
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
HUM
42%
24%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
OAK
1 - 1
HUM
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
AVH
1 - 1
HUM
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |