North Geelong Warriors vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MCF
4 - 1
NGW
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 4
HUM
12%
18%
71%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 4
AVH
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
NGW
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 2
POR
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 2
GRE
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 2
GRE
22%
22%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
POR
34%
24%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
SOU
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |