North Geelong Warriors vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
14º
14º
41
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
NGW
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 2
BEN
11%
16%
74%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
NGW
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OAK
5 - 0
NGW
94%
5%
2%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 0
STA
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 5
AVH
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HUM
1 - 0
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
POR
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 2
ALM
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
5 - 1
ALM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |