North Ferriby United vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 0
HED
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 0
BOS
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TOW
5 - 0
NOR
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
GLO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HIS
3 - 1
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 0
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
VAU
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |