North Ferriby United vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 4
NOR
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 3
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
VAU
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
WOR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 1
STA
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GAI
2 - 1
WOR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 1
AFC
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |