North Ferriby United vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
GOS
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAU
2 - 4
AFC
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAU
4 - 0
HIS
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
STO
4 - 1
VAU
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAU
1 - 0
WOR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 3
BRA
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |