North Ferriby United vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STO
4 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
187
1 - 0
NOR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 6
SPE
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHO
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BOS
2 - 1
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 0
STO
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STO
3 - 3
UNM
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 1
TAM
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
UNM
6 - 2
HAN
55%
19%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 1
UNM
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |