North Ferriby United vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
GAI
2 - 0
NOR
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
DAR
13%
19%
69%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BLY
0 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
NOR
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 5
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 1
STO
41%
27%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
TAM
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
CUR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 1
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BLY
4 - 2
TAM
69%
17%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |