North Ferriby United vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 4
GUI
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
LEA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 3
HED
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOW
2 - 1
OXF
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 4
SOL
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 1
STO
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COL
3 - 5
OXF
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |