North Ferriby United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
NOR
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
STO
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 3
NOR
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
TOW
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
LEA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
5 - 2
TOW
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAI
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |