National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 0-3
North Ferriby United vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 0
NOR
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 2
TOW
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
NOR
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 1
GLO
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
GUI
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
COL
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
TOW
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |