North Ferriby United vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
RUN
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 1
NOR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
NOR
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BUX
1 - 4
NOR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
HIS
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 1
GUI
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
HED
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |