North Ferriby United vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
MAC
18%
23%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 4
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WRE
1 - 0
NOR
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 4
DAG
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOV
1 - 1
WRE
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
3 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
DOV
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
DOV
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
2 - 2
YOR
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |