North Ferriby United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
TOW
4 - 1
NOR
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 4
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 3
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 4
NOR
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FYL
6 - 2
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
GUI
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TOW
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
TAM
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |