North Ferriby United vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 3
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 0
GAI
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 0
NOR
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 0
UNM
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 4
ALF
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |