North Ferriby United vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 0
NOR
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 2
TOW
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
NOR
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
STO
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |