North Esporte Clube vs Varginha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2944%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Esporte Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAM
1 - 0
NEC
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAL
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 1
BET
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +8 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 0
NEC
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
UBE
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +3 |
Matches
Varginha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 1
VEC
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VEC
0 - 1
MAM
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
VEC
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
VEC
1 - 0
AYM
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
IFC
4 - 0
VEC
15%
17%
69%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -3 |