North District vs Kowloon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
8º
9º
17
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 31 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 18 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
NDT
4 - 4
BIU
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NDT
3 - 3
BIU
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
NDT
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
NDT
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 1
NDT
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Kowloon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KWL
0 - 5
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 1
KWL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KWL
2 - 1
SDI
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KWL
2 - 0
BIU
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
KWL
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |