North District vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
72%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
8º
9º
23
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 31 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 18 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NDT
1 - 2
EAS
12%
20%
69%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NDT
0 - 1
HKU
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
NDT
49%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NDT
0 - 4
WAR
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NDT
0 - 1
BIU
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 6
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
KFC
32%
21%
47%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 3
WAR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SDI
0 - 3
KFC
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 2
EAS
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |