North District vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
8º
7º
18
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NDT
2 - 3
KFC
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
NDT
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NDT
1 - 4
WAR
9%
15%
76%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
WTP
2 - 1
NDT
58%
21%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
NDT
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
RES
65%
19%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
BIU
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
18%
19%
63%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
EAS
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
HON
6%
12%
82%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |