North Carolina vs Notre Dame analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VTH
0 - 2
NCA
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 0
NCA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 2
WKD
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NCA
4 - 0
NCS
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
NCA
44%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 1
DBD
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
PIP
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CET
0 - 2
NDF
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 1
VIC
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
NDF
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |