North Carolina vs NC State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
NCA
44%
22%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NCA
0 - 3
DBD
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PIP
4 - 0
NCA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MTH
1 - 0
NCA
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
WKD
1 - 2
NCA
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
NCS
1 - 1
WKD
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
NCS
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 2
CET
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
BCE
0 - 0
NCS
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NCS
0 - 0
DBD
18%
19%
64%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |