Norrby vs Onsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
11º
5º
17
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
FAL
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
JON
1 - 0
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
ESK
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
NOR
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
TIK
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OBK
0 - 2
OLY
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 1
OBK
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 2
JON
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 1
OBK
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 1
TOR
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |