Norrby vs Lunds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ORG
6 - 2
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
ESK
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
6 - 0
KRI
58%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QVI
1 - 1
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 3
ISH
62%
20%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LBK
2 - 0
OSK
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
OIF
3 - 1
LBK
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LBK
2 - 1
IKO
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 0
LBK
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
LBK
1 - 2
TRE
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |