Norrby vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
11º
5º
52
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 94% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
JON
1 - 0
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 1
ESK
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
NOR
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
TIK
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 4
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 1
OBK
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
TIK
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 2
LAN
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
0 - 1
FAL
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
TVA
77%
16%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |