Noroeste vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ATI
2 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 1
RIO
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
INT
1 - 1
XVD
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |