Noroeste vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 2
NOR
23%
25%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
NOR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OES
0 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |