Noroeste vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 2
MAT
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 3
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
VEL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
AGU
26%
26%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAT
2 - 3
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |