Noroeste vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 0
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
RIO
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 2
UNI
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |