Noroeste vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 5
MOG
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOR
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 0
NOR
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SAO
6%
18%
77%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |