Noroeste vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
NOR
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
PRI
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
TAB
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TAB
0 - 0
DES
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
TAB
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TAB
0 - 0
COM
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 0
TAB
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |