Noroeste vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 3
VFC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 3
AUD
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |