Noroeste vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 0
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
SEP
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |