Noroeste vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |