Noroeste vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 2
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 0
GRÊ
37%
24%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |