Noroeste vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 1
NOR
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 3
RIO
45%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |