Noroeste vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
RIO
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 1
ATI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SJS
1 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TAB
3 - 0
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |