Noroeste vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
NOR
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
MAT
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
NOR
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VOT
2 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |