Noroeste vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
MIR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 0
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
LIN
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 0
LIN
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 0
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |