Noroeste vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
GRÊ
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OES
4 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
54%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
SAN
12%
20%
69%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 1
ITU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITU
68%
18%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
OES
1 - 0
ITU
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |