Noroeste vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
GRÊ
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
AUD
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |