Noroeste vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 3
COM
41%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAP
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAP
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRE
62%
23%
16%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
RIO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |