Noroeste vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 1
NOR
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
MIR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FER
5 - 1
VEL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
XVD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |